Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Couture wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 47.6% vs Johansen 58.2% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 72.3%
Defensive zone
Couture 91.5%
Neutral zone
Couture 80.8%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Couture
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Couture
Johansen
Last 9: Couture 2-7 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
6
Couture
Johansen
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
1
0
Couture
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Couture
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,083)
59.8% (625)
-10.6%
Power Play
56.7% (60)
58.2% (196)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (206)
51.9% (27)
-16.5%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Couture is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Couture shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Couture
Johansen
Home
49.6% (713)
60.3% (436)
Away
45.0% (636)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Couture
Johansen
P1
47.2%
61.3%
P2
45.0%
60.4%
P3
50.0%
56.0%
OT
50.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
42.8%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2022 | 3 | 16:05 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 8, 2022 | 2 | 19:50 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 8, 2022 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 7, 2022 | 3 | 09:27 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 7, 2022 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 7, 2022 | 3 | 02:53 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 7, 2022 | 2 | 14:33 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 7, 2022 | 1 | 16:39 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 7, 2022 | 1 | 00:24 | Offensive | Logan Couture |