Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Couture wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 47.6% vs Thompson 43.8% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 60.3%
Defensive zone
Thompson 62.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 65.0%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Couture
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Couture
Thompson
Last 10: Couture 3-7 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Couture
Thompson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Couture
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
4
Couture
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,083)
43.3% (735)
+5.9%
Power Play
56.7% (60)
50.0% (26)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (206)
36.5% (52)
-1.1%
On power play, Couture has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Couture is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Couture shoots left. Thompson is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Couture
Thompson
Home
49.6% (713)
44.5% (407)
Away
45.0% (636)
41.6% (406)
By Period
Couture
Thompson
P1
47.2%
44.4%
P2
45.0%
44.8%
P3
50.0%
40.2%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
42.8%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 17:54 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 17:25 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 14:35 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 10:46 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 02:14 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 00:11 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 11:57 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 08:26 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 03:29 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |