Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Couture wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.3% vs Thompson 42.8% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 55.5%
Defensive zone
Thompson 52.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 55.6%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Couture
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Couture
Thompson
Last 10: Couture 3-7 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
6
3
Couture
Thompson
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
3
2
Couture
Thompson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
5
Couture
Thompson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (8,919)
42.9% (3,521)
+5.9%
Power Play
54.6% (624)
46.8% (372)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (992)
33.6% (265)
+6.2%
On power play, Couture has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Couture is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,626).
Couture shoots left. Thompson is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,011).
Home / Away
Couture
Thompson
Home
49.4% (5,418)
44.9% (2,115)
Away
47.1% (5,135)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Couture
Thompson
P1
47.9%
44.5%
P2
47.9%
43.6%
P3
49.2%
40.2%
OT
48.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
45.7%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 17:54 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 17:25 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 14:35 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 10:46 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 02:14 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 00:11 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 11:57 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 08:26 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 03:29 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 18:13 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 2 | 19:35 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 2 | 12:39 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 17:17 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 00:50 | Offensive | Logan Couture |