Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Couture wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 49.0% vs Thompson 44.0% (+4.6%)
Offensive zone
Thompson 56.0%
Defensive zone
Thompson 56.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 55.5%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Couture
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (78)
44.6% (709)
+0.3%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
41.5% (53)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (11)
35.1% (97)
+28.5%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Couture is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (26).
Couture shoots left. Thompson is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Couture
Thompson
Home
45.2% (62)
45.5% (426)
Away
52.9% (34)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Couture
Thompson
P1
55.2%
48.5%
P2
44.4%
43.8%
P3
50.0%
38.1%
OT
16.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.9%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%