Lukas Reichel vs Michael McCarron
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Reichel wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reichel 45.6% vs McCarron 52.8% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reichel 73.8%
Defensive zone
McCarron 67.2%
Neutral zone
Reichel 51.8%
Result
Lukas Reichel favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Reichel
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Reichel
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Reichel
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reichel
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (170)
54.5% (618)
-11.0%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
42.1% (19)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
35.3% (34)
-35.3%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +35.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Reichel is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (93).
Reichel shoots left. McCarron is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Reichel
McCarron
Home
45.7% (81)
52.2% (339)
Away
41.9% (117)
54.2% (332)
By Period
Reichel
McCarron
P1
48.4%
53.5%
P2
34.3%
50.6%
P3
46.9%
55.9%
Final 5 min
41.0%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
43.4%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 05:12 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |