Lukas Reichel vs Michael McCarron
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Reichel wins 36.6% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reichel 44.2% vs McCarron 52.5% (-13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reichel 79.3%
Defensive zone
McCarron 72.5%
Neutral zone
Reichel 50.9%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Reichel
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Reichel
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Reichel
McCarron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Reichel
McCarron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reichel
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
39.7% (116)
53.1% (672)
-13.4%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
18.2% (11)
-18.2%
On power play, McCarron has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Reichel is 36.6% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Reichel shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Reichel
McCarron
Home
35.2% (71)
52.8% (477)
Away
45.7% (46)
52.8% (411)
By Period
Reichel
McCarron
P1
56.8%
56.5%
P2
33.3%
53.2%
P3
29.3%
49.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
39.3%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 18:45 | Neutral | Lukas Reichel |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 06:31 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 16:30 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |