Lukas Reichel vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Reichel wins 41.2% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reichel 41.6% vs McCarron 52.7% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Reichel 93.2%
Defensive zone
Reichel 75.3%
Neutral zone
Reichel 84.5%
Result
Lukas Reichel favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
Reichel
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Reichel
McCarron
Last 10: Reichel 1-9 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Reichel
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
4
Reichel
McCarron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
4
Reichel
McCarron
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reichel
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (668)
53.4% (2,901)
-13.3%
Power Play
48.2% (56)
45.3% (86)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (6)
50.5% (463)
-50.5%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +50.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Reichel is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Reichel shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).
Home / Away
Reichel
McCarron
Home
41.2% (410)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
39.4% (320)
53.3% (1,754)
By Period
Reichel
McCarron
P1
41.9%
53.9%
P2
36.3%
52.5%
P3
42.8%
52.0%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
36.6%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.4%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 18:45 | Neutral | Lukas Reichel |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 06:31 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 16:30 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 3 | 07:18 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 1 | 14:24 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 06:30 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 01:13 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 1 | 09:44 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 05:12 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |