Luke Glendening vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Glendening wins 58.7% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 57.8% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+14.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 71.9%
Defensive zone
Glendening 77.8%
Neutral zone
Glendening 58.0%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Glendening
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Glendening
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Glendening
MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
1
0
Glendening
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Glendening
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (428)
44.7% (1,053)
+15.8%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
36.8% (95)
+29.9%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (174)
65.0% (20)
-9.8%
On power play, Glendening has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Glendening is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Glendening shoots right. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Glendening
MacKinnon
Home
59.0% (293)
49.4% (553)
Away
59.0% (315)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Glendening
MacKinnon
P1
61.5%
45.3%
P2
59.1%
42.7%
P3
56.3%
45.1%
OT
66.7%
46.2%
Final 5 min
66.9%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
59.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 01:56 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 21, 2022 | OT | 02:40 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 21, 2022 | OT | 02:21 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 19:34 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |