Luke Glendening vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.1% vs 51.5%). Glendening wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 51.8% vs MacKinnon 51.3% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 78.7%
Defensive zone
Glendening 85.3%
Neutral zone
Glendening 55.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
Glendening
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Glendening
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Glendening
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glendening
1
0
Glendening
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (404)
50.0% (992)
+3.5%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
64.9% (148)
+35.1%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (141)
34.4% (32)
+12.4%
On power play, Glendening has a +35.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Glendening is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Glendening shoots right. MacKinnon is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Glendening
MacKinnon
Home
46.9% (241)
53.3% (591)
Away
56.2% (308)
49.6% (581)
By Period
Glendening
MacKinnon
P1
50.6%
49.9%
P2
51.8%
53.2%
P3
52.9%
50.8%
OT
83.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.3%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 15:51 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |