Luke Glendening vs Nathan MacKinnon
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Glendening wins 60.1% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 55.4% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 69.5%
Defensive zone
Glendening 78.1%
Neutral zone
Glendening 50.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
Glendening
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Glendening
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Glendening
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (725)
45.5% (1,190)
+12.8%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
56.4% (94)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (215)
40.0% (30)
+8.4%
On even strength, Glendening has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Glendening is 60.1% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Glendening shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Glendening
MacKinnon
Home
55.4% (469)
47.8% (670)
Away
56.6% (479)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Glendening
MacKinnon
P1
53.5%
45.3%
P2
57.0%
48.5%
P3
58.0%
45.0%
OT
22.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.2%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
56.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 13:38 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 17:28 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |