Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 51.8% vs O'Reilly 54.8% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 68.7%
Defensive zone
Glendening 77.1%
Neutral zone
Glendening 53.1%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Glendening
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Glendening
O'Reilly
Last 5: Glendening 1-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Glendening
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Glendening
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (404)
55.3% (815)
-1.8%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
58.0% (219)
+42.0%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (141)
49.2% (124)
-2.4%
On power play, Glendening has a +42.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Glendening is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (395).
Glendening shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Glendening
O'Reilly
Home
46.9% (241)
55.8% (579)
Away
56.2% (308)
54.6% (579)
By Period
Glendening
O'Reilly
P1
50.6%
57.5%
P2
51.8%
54.7%
P3
52.9%
54.1%
OT
83.3%
48.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
O'Reilly
48.0%▼
54.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 12:35 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 19:31 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 12:09 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 05:54 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |