Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Glendening wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 57.6% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 70.4%
Defensive zone
Glendening 73.3%
Neutral zone
Glendening 56.6%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Glendening
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Glendening
O'Reilly
Last 9: Glendening 5-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Glendening
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
5
1
Glendening
O'Reilly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (535)
56.6% (1,064)
+4.9%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
60.4% (260)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
54.0% (261)
-3.7%
On even strength, Glendening has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Glendening is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (558).
Glendening shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Glendening
O'Reilly
Home
59.7% (365)
54.9% (801)
Away
57.7% (359)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Glendening
O'Reilly
P1
65.3%
58.0%
P2
52.4%
56.7%
P3
58.7%
55.4%
OT
33.3%
64.7%
Final 5 min
50.3%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
58.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2022 | 3 | 18:08 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Jan 9, 2022 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 9, 2022 | 1 | 08:26 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 2 | 13:57 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 2 | 11:00 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 2 | 06:47 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 1 | 00:36 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 16:00 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |