Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Glendening wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 55.4% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 74.6%
Defensive zone
Glendening 93.3%
Neutral zone
Glendening 67.9%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
Glendening
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Glendening
O'Reilly
Last 8: Glendening 6-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Glendening
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
6
0
Glendening
O'Reilly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (725)
55.0% (1,084)
+3.3%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
56.8% (303)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (215)
40.3% (149)
+8.1%
On penalty kill, Glendening has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Glendening is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Glendening shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (555).
Home / Away
Glendening
O'Reilly
Home
55.4% (469)
54.8% (759)
Away
56.6% (479)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Glendening
O'Reilly
P1
53.5%
55.3%
P2
57.0%
51.9%
P3
58.0%
54.2%
OT
22.2%
64.7%
Final 5 min
59.2%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
56.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 02:30 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 3 | 15:03 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 3 | 07:06 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 2 | 13:18 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 2 | 10:04 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 1 | 12:05 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |