Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Glendening wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 56.3% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Glendening leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 78.7%
Defensive zone
Glendening 86.1%
Neutral zone
Glendening 55.1%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Glendening
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Glendening
O'Reilly
Last 10: Glendening 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Glendening
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
6
1
Glendening
O'Reilly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (703)
56.2% (983)
+2.4%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
55.5% (254)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (159)
52.0% (102)
-2.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Glendening is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (664).
Glendening shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Glendening
O'Reilly
Home
54.3% (468)
56.2% (697)
Away
60.0% (413)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Glendening
O'Reilly
P1
58.2%
54.5%
P2
57.6%
55.5%
P3
56.0%
57.1%
OT
16.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.5%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
57.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | OT | 00:55 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 08:41 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 08:58 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 05:45 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 03:07 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 15:12 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 08:56 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 15:34 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |