Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 53.4% vs O'Reilly 57.6% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 88.2%
Defensive zone
Glendening 50.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 70.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 68.9%
31.1%
68.9%
Glendening
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Glendening
O'Reilly
Last 8: Glendening 5-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Glendening
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
4
0
Glendening
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (407)
57.9% (1,179)
-2.4%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
63.0% (292)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (150)
53.8% (320)
-5.1%
On power play, Glendening has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Glendening is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (369).
Glendening shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Glendening
O'Reilly
Home
56.6% (316)
61.3% (884)
Away
50.8% (252)
54.8% (907)
By Period
Glendening
O'Reilly
P1
44.9%
55.5%
P2
56.8%
61.0%
P3
60.3%
56.8%
OT
57.1%
67.7%
Final 5 min
55.2%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
54.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2017 | 3 | 10:27 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 20, 2017 | OT | 03:53 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 2 | 02:43 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 1 | 00:56 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 2 | 15:02 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |