Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Glendening wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 55.2% vs O'Reilly 56.5% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 65.7%
Defensive zone
Glendening 79.2%
Neutral zone
Glendening 58.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Glendening
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Glendening
O'Reilly
Last 10: Glendening 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
7
Glendening
O'Reilly
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
3
0
Glendening
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Glendening
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (961)
57.1% (1,367)
-0.2%
Power Play
53.1% (32)
59.4% (286)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (189)
52.5% (257)
-2.8%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Glendening is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Glendening shoots right. O'Reilly is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (709).
Home / Away
Glendening
O'Reilly
Home
57.0% (588)
59.2% (936)
Away
54.4% (594)
54.6% (974)
By Period
Glendening
O'Reilly
P1
54.6%
57.3%
P2
56.0%
57.5%
P3
56.3%
55.0%
OT
62.5%
71.1%
Final 5 min
56.0%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
55.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 11:24 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 3 | 17:07 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 3 | 05:30 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 2 | 13:47 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 2 | 02:35 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |