Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 51.4% vs Novak 44.9% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 87.6%
Defensive zone
Glendening 76.6%
Neutral zone
Novak 59.9%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 87.6%
12.4%
87.6%
Glendening
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Glendening
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Glendening
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (370)
41.7% (206)
+12.4%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
52.6% (19)
+47.4%
On power play, Glendening has a +47.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Glendening is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Glendening shoots right. Novak is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (77).
Home / Away
Glendening
Novak
Home
46.5% (213)
44.9% (118)
Away
55.4% (294)
40.2% (107)
By Period
Glendening
Novak
P1
49.7%
41.5%
P2
51.9%
44.0%
P3
52.2%
42.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
66.0%▲
49.5%
51.7%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 17:30 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |