Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 51.8% vs Novak 43.4% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 80.7%
Defensive zone
Glendening 80.0%
Neutral zone
Novak 50.7%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Glendening
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Glendening
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
2
Glendening
Novak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
2
0
Glendening
Novak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (404)
41.4% (379)
+12.1%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
46.9% (32)
+53.1%
On power play, Glendening has a +53.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Glendening is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (395).
Glendening shoots right. Novak is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Glendening
Novak
Home
46.9% (241)
42.6% (195)
Away
56.2% (308)
41.2% (216)
By Period
Glendening
Novak
P1
50.6%
42.4%
P2
51.8%
39.2%
P3
52.9%
44.7%
OT
83.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.3%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 16:15 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 05:51 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 17:30 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |