Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Glendening wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 56.3% vs Novak 45.0% (+14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 65.9%
Defensive zone
Glendening 84.8%
Neutral zone
Glendening 54.2%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Glendening
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Glendening
Novak
Last 6: Glendening 3-3 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
2
1
Glendening
Novak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Glendening
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Glendening
Novak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (703)
42.9% (198)
+15.7%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
40.9% (22)
+17.0%
On power play, Glendening has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Glendening is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (664).
Glendening shoots right. Novak is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Glendening
Novak
Home
54.3% (468)
40.9% (110)
Away
60.0% (413)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Glendening
Novak
P1
58.2%
39.1%
P2
57.6%
43.9%
P3
56.0%
44.9%
OT
16.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
60.5%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
57.0%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 13:22 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 13:17 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 04:34 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 17:20 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 14:03 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |