Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Glendening wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 55.4% vs Novak 43.5% (+13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 82.9%
Defensive zone
Glendening 83.6%
Neutral zone
Novak 51.9%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Glendening
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Glendening
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Glendening
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Glendening
Novak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (725)
40.7% (460)
+17.6%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
61.5% (39)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (215)
0.0% (1)
+48.4%
On penalty kill, Glendening has a +48.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Glendening is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Glendening shoots right. Novak is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Glendening
Novak
Home
55.4% (469)
47.0% (236)
Away
56.6% (479)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Glendening
Novak
P1
53.5%
43.1%
P2
57.0%
43.1%
P3
58.0%
40.1%
Final 5 min
59.2%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
56.0%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 13:51 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 3 | 03:34 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |