Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Novak on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Glendening wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 55.6% vs Novak 43.3% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Novak leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Novak 78.4%
Defensive zone
Glendening 92.4%
Neutral zone
Glendening 63.2%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Glendening
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Glendening
Novak
Last 10: Glendening 5-5 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
2
4
Glendening
Novak
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
3
1
Glendening
Novak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Glendening
Novak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (7,770)
42.1% (1,539)
+15.8%
Power Play
56.4% (195)
51.9% (133)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (2,498)
50.0% (2)
-1.4%
On even strength, Glendening has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Glendening is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,244).
Glendening shoots right. Novak is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Glendening
Novak
Home
55.4% (5,255)
45.3% (814)
Away
55.9% (5,208)
40.6% (860)
By Period
Glendening
Novak
P1
56.1%
43.9%
P2
54.5%
42.8%
P3
56.5%
41.7%
OT
48.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.7%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
55.6%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 16:15 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 05:51 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 17:30 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 13:22 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 13:17 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 04:34 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 17:20 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 14:03 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 13:51 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 3 | 03:34 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 3 | 02:24 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |