Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 46.4% vs Duchene 55.6% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 70.6%
Defensive zone
Kunin 67.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 60.8%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Kunin
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Kunin
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
0
Kunin
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
0
Kunin
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Kunin
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (366)
56.5% (566)
-7.6%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
61.3% (62)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (88)
22.2% (9)
+13.0%
On power play, Duchene has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Kunin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (375).
Kunin shoots right. Duchene is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Kunin
Duchene
Home
45.7% (245)
56.6% (318)
Away
45.5% (235)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Kunin
Duchene
P1
46.5%
57.2%
P2
45.0%
55.1%
P3
44.9%
55.6%
OT
100.0%
81.3%
Final 5 min
41.8%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
45.6%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 01:08 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 02:39 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 00:14 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |