Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kunin wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 46.1% vs Duchene 54.1% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Kunin 54.2%
Defensive zone
Kunin 75.9%
Neutral zone
Kunin 67.2%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Kunin
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Kunin
Duchene
Last 10: Kunin 3-7 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
4
Kunin
Duchene
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Kunin
Duchene
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
3
Kunin
Duchene
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (1,622)
53.9% (10,396)
-6.8%
Power Play
46.4% (138)
56.9% (1,665)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (333)
49.1% (468)
-8.9%
On power play, Duchene has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Kunin is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,511).
Kunin shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,494).
Home / Away
Kunin
Duchene
Home
45.5% (1,048)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
46.4% (1,045)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Kunin
Duchene
P1
47.9%
54.5%
P2
45.7%
54.5%
P3
43.9%
53.4%
OT
50.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
42.8%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
46.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 15:42 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 11:54 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 07:26 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:58 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 03:36 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 04:06 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 1 | 17:18 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 01:08 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 02:39 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 00:14 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 16:04 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |