Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kunin wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 47.6% vs Duchene 52.1% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kunin 60.7%
Defensive zone
Kunin 74.0%
Neutral zone
Kunin 66.5%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Kunin
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Kunin
Duchene
Last 10: Kunin 3-7 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
4
Kunin
Duchene
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kunin
Duchene
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kunin
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (276)
53.0% (723)
-6.6%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
49.5% (101)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (92)
43.8% (16)
+4.0%
On even strength, Duchene has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Kunin is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (287).
Kunin shoots right. Duchene is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Kunin
Duchene
Home
45.9% (194)
54.9% (408)
Away
48.0% (204)
50.0% (432)
By Period
Kunin
Duchene
P1
43.2%
52.5%
P2
46.3%
51.7%
P3
52.1%
53.6%
Final 5 min
40.4%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
47.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 15:42 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 11:54 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 07:26 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:58 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 03:36 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 04:06 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 1 | 17:18 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |