Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 46.4% vs Paul 53.9% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 90.7%
Defensive zone
Paul 63.1%
Neutral zone
Paul 75.0%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Kunin
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Kunin
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
2
0
Kunin
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (366)
53.1% (710)
-4.2%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
57.3% (199)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (88)
58.0% (69)
-22.8%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Kunin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (375).
Kunin shoots right. Paul is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Kunin
Paul
Home
45.7% (245)
56.0% (466)
Away
45.5% (235)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Kunin
Paul
P1
46.5%
57.2%
P2
45.0%
54.9%
P3
44.9%
51.5%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.8%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
45.6%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 02:50 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 03:33 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |