Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Kunin wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 47.6% vs Paul 50.0% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kunin 52.5%
Defensive zone
Kunin 60.0%
Neutral zone
Kunin 56.7%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Kunin
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kunin
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Kunin
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (276)
48.8% (666)
-2.4%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
53.8% (65)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (92)
60.0% (55)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Kunin is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (287).
Kunin shoots right. Paul is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Kunin
Paul
Home
45.9% (194)
49.7% (348)
Away
48.0% (204)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Kunin
Paul
P1
43.2%
51.0%
P2
46.3%
47.4%
P3
52.1%
51.5%
Final 5 min
40.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
47.0%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Nick Paul |