Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kunin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kunin wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 46.1% vs Paul 52.2% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Kunin leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Paul 73.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 65.8%
Neutral zone
Paul 72.3%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 70.0%
30.0%
70.0%
Kunin
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Kunin
Paul
Last 10: Kunin 6-4 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kunin
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kunin
Paul
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kunin
3
1
Kunin
Paul
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (1,622)
52.5% (3,796)
-5.4%
Power Play
46.4% (138)
56.5% (480)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (333)
46.7% (574)
-6.5%
On power play, Paul has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Kunin is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,511).
Kunin shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,780).
Home / Away
Kunin
Paul
Home
45.5% (1,048)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
46.4% (1,045)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Kunin
Paul
P1
47.9%
53.9%
P2
45.7%
51.0%
P3
43.9%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.8%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
46.0%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:04 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 05:31 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 02:31 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 02:24 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 02:08 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 02:50 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 03:33 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 14:14 | Offensive | Nick Paul |