Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 46.4% vs Zacha 54.4% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 72.1%
Defensive zone
Kunin 70.1%
Neutral zone
Zacha 50.6%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Kunin
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Kunin
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Kunin
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kunin
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (366)
53.9% (787)
-5.0%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
63.2% (193)
-28.6%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (88)
44.3% (88)
-9.1%
On power play, Zacha has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Kunin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (375).
Kunin shoots right. Zacha is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Home / Away
Kunin
Zacha
Home
45.7% (245)
56.7% (538)
Away
45.5% (235)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Kunin
Zacha
P1
46.5%
52.6%
P2
45.0%
54.8%
P3
44.9%
56.8%
OT
100.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
41.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
45.6%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 03:39 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |