Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kunin wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 46.1% vs Zacha 49.1% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Kunin 56.3%
Defensive zone
Kunin 69.9%
Neutral zone
Kunin 62.2%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Kunin
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Kunin
Zacha
Last 10: Kunin 4-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
5
Kunin
Zacha
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
3
Kunin
Zacha
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kunin
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (1,622)
48.9% (5,102)
-1.8%
Power Play
46.4% (138)
55.6% (804)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (333)
42.2% (555)
-2.0%
On power play, Zacha has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Kunin is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,511).
Kunin shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,539).
Home / Away
Kunin
Zacha
Home
45.5% (1,048)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
46.4% (1,045)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Kunin
Zacha
P1
47.9%
49.9%
P2
45.7%
49.2%
P3
43.9%
48.1%
OT
50.0%
53.1%
Final 5 min
42.8%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
46.0%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 03:29 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 17:13 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 17:02 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 04:13 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:41 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 03:39 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 00:54 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |