Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kunin wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 45.9% vs Zacha 49.1% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Kunin 55.2%
Defensive zone
Kunin 72.2%
Neutral zone
Kunin 63.3%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Kunin
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Kunin
Zacha
Last 10: Kunin 4-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
5
Kunin
Zacha
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
3
Kunin
Zacha
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kunin
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (1,563)
48.8% (4,953)
-2.0%
Power Play
46.4% (138)
55.8% (788)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (318)
42.0% (547)
-1.7%
On power play, Zacha has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Kunin is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,447).
Kunin shoots right. Zacha is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,472).
Home / Away
Kunin
Zacha
Home
45.5% (1,018)
49.6% (3,278)
Away
46.0% (1,001)
48.5% (3,010)
By Period
Kunin
Zacha
P1
47.4%
49.9%
P2
45.3%
49.1%
P3
44.1%
47.9%
OT
50.0%
54.9%
Final 5 min
42.5%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
42.0%▼
52.5%
45.7%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 03:29 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 17:13 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 17:02 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 04:13 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:41 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 03:39 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 00:54 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |