Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 52.0%). Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kunin wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 51.1% vs Zacha 51.7% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 54.1%
Defensive zone
Kunin 50.7%
Neutral zone
Kunin 52.5%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Kunin
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Kunin
Zacha
Last 7: Kunin 3-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
3
Kunin
Zacha
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kunin
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
0
Kunin
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (260)
53.3% (646)
-0.6%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
53.0% (100)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (55)
38.9% (72)
+4.7%
On power play, Kunin has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Kunin is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Kunin shoots right. Zacha is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Kunin
Zacha
Home
51.7% (151)
51.7% (410)
Away
51.2% (172)
52.2% (408)
By Period
Kunin
Zacha
P1
55.1%
57.7%
P2
55.3%
48.9%
P3
43.1%
50.2%
Final 5 min
53.7%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 03:29 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 17:13 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 17:02 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 04:13 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |