Macklin Celebrini vs Sam Carrick
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Celebrini wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.6% vs Carrick 52.1% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Celebrini 83.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 75.3%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 54.4%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Celebrini
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Celebrini
Carrick
Last 10: Celebrini 5-5 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
4
3
Celebrini
Carrick
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
4
Celebrini
Carrick
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
1
0
Celebrini
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,825)
52.1% (2,513)
-4.4%
Power Play
53.8% (247)
61.3% (75)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (36)
50.7% (430)
+4.9%
On power play, Carrick has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Celebrini is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (664).
Celebrini shoots left. Carrick is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,179).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Carrick
Home
47.7% (1,076)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
49.4% (1,032)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Celebrini
Carrick
P1
47.2%
51.8%
P2
46.9%
52.2%
P3
51.5%
52.4%
Final 5 min
47.1%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.5%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 05:44 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 14:30 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 17:21 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 19:53 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:09 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:55 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 04:04 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 04:42 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 12:44 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 12:41 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 12:26 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |