Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.4% vs Steel 52.8% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Celebrini 55.2%
Defensive zone
Steel 73.4%
Neutral zone
Steel 64.1%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Celebrini
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Celebrini
Steel
Last 7: Celebrini 4-3 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Celebrini
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
3
1
Celebrini
Steel
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
1
0
Celebrini
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (901)
56.9% (320)
-9.7%
Power Play
54.7% (139)
71.4% (7)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
37.0% (73)
+17.5%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Celebrini is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (711).
Celebrini shoots left. Steel is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Steel
Home
47.6% (553)
55.9% (202)
Away
49.0% (498)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Celebrini
Steel
P1
46.6%
55.5%
P2
46.4%
55.1%
P3
51.8%
50.3%
Final 5 min
48.7%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 09:57 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 09:46 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 1 | 16:19 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 1 | 10:39 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 1 | 03:00 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |