Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Kasper wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 49.8% vs Sturm 53.6% (-4.9%)
Offensive zone
Kasper 70.7%
Defensive zone
Sturm 68.0%
Neutral zone
Sturm 52.2%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Kasper
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (350)
54.6% (271)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
31.6% (19)
54.4% (90)
-22.8%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Kasper is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Kasper shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Kasper
Sturm
Home
51.1% (184)
53.0% (168)
Away
48.5% (194)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Kasper
Sturm
P1
53.8%
58.2%
P2
52.2%
53.2%
P3
42.6%
52.3%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
49.7%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%