Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 45.6% vs Roy 47.9% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 50.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 66.4%
Neutral zone
Roy 51.1%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Kasper
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Kasper
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
1
0
Kasper
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Kasper
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
1
0
Kasper
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (586)
48.6% (679)
-3.5%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
48.0% (50)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
34.7% (49)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Kasper is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (215).
Kasper shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Kasper
Roy
Home
47.9% (280)
49.3% (345)
Away
42.5% (346)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Kasper
Roy
P1
45.8%
47.6%
P2
50.0%
47.1%
P3
38.4%
47.9%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
40.3%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.9%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 08:25 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 06:04 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |