Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kasper on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kasper wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 46.8% vs Roy 48.4% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 55.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 72.9%
Neutral zone
Roy 55.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Kasper
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Kasper
Roy
Last 8: Kasper 6-2 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
2
0
Kasper
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kasper
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
3
1
Kasper
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (944)
48.7% (3,719)
-1.7%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
49.5% (283)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (36)
45.5% (477)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Kasper is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Kasper shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Kasper
Roy
Home
49.1% (464)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
44.2% (548)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Kasper
Roy
P1
47.8%
50.8%
P2
51.0%
46.3%
P3
39.9%
48.1%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.2%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
46.4%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 14:43 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:04 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 17:14 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 17:06 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 08:56 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 08:25 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 06:04 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |