Scouting Report
Marco Kasper holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kasper on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 45.6% vs Thompson 43.7% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Kasper leads 12-1 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Kasper 66.1%
Defensive zone
Kasper 77.3%
Neutral zone
Kasper 75.2%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Kasper
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
1
(13 meetings)
12
1
Kasper
Thompson
Last 10: Kasper 9-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
2
1
Kasper
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
5
0
Kasper
Thompson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
5
0
Kasper
Thompson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (586)
41.9% (597)
+3.2%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
50.5% (95)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
25.0% (12)
+4.4%
On penalty kill, Kasper has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Kasper is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (215).
Kasper shoots left. Thompson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Kasper
Thompson
Home
47.9% (280)
47.1% (367)
Away
42.5% (346)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Kasper
Thompson
P1
45.8%
44.2%
P2
50.0%
41.6%
P3
38.4%
42.9%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
40.3%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.9%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:05 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 10:23 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 06:43 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 06:18 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 06:50 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 06:32 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 11:35 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |