Scouting Report
Marco Kasper holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kasper on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Kasper wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 46.8% vs Thompson 42.8% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Kasper leads 13-3 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Kasper 79.6%
Defensive zone
Kasper 80.0%
Neutral zone
Kasper 77.2%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Kasper
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
3
(16 meetings)
13
3
Kasper
Thompson
Last 10: Kasper 8-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kasper
Thompson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
5
1
Kasper
Thompson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
6
0
Kasper
Thompson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (944)
42.9% (3,521)
+4.1%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
46.8% (372)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (36)
33.6% (265)
-3.0%
On even strength, Kasper has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Kasper is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Kasper shoots left. Thompson is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,011).
Home / Away
Kasper
Thompson
Home
49.1% (464)
44.9% (2,115)
Away
44.2% (548)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Kasper
Thompson
P1
47.8%
44.5%
P2
51.0%
43.6%
P3
39.9%
40.2%
OT
66.7%
36.4%
Final 5 min
41.2%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
46.4%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 16:30 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 09:09 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:05 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 10:23 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 06:43 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 06:18 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 06:50 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 06:32 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 11:35 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |