Scouting Report
Marco Kasper holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Kasper wins 60.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 49.8% vs Thompson 45.3% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 57.3%
Defensive zone
Thompson 52.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 62.6%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Kasper
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Kasper
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Kasper
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Kasper
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
1
0
Kasper
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (350)
44.9% (642)
+6.2%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
47.9% (94)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
31.6% (19)
33.3% (33)
-1.7%
On power play, Thompson has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Kasper is 60.3% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Kasper shoots left. Thompson is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Kasper
Thompson
Home
51.1% (184)
46.0% (391)
Away
48.5% (194)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Kasper
Thompson
P1
53.8%
48.1%
P2
52.2%
44.9%
P3
42.6%
41.2%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
44.3%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
49.7%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 16:30 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 09:09 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |