Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Rossi wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 48.4% vs Geekie 49.3% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 52.0%
Defensive zone
Geekie 58.3%
Neutral zone
Rossi 54.3%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Rossi
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Rossi
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (139)
49.9% (505)
-2.4%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
0.0% (6)
+40.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
48.4% (93)
+1.6%
On power play, Rossi has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Rossi is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (60).
Rossi shoots left. Geekie is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Home / Away
Rossi
Geekie
Home
53.2% (47)
50.0% (314)
Away
44.4% (99)
48.3% (290)
By Period
Rossi
Geekie
P1
44.4%
51.3%
P2
45.5%
46.9%
P3
53.2%
49.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
47.3%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |