Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Rossi wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.9% vs Geekie 48.5% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Geekie leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 51.3%
Defensive zone
Geekie 56.3%
Neutral zone
Rossi 54.1%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Rossi
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Rossi
Geekie
Last 10: Rossi 4-6 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rossi
Geekie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rossi
Geekie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
2
4
Rossi
Geekie
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (2,140)
48.8% (2,307)
-1.8%
Power Play
47.3% (188)
45.7% (188)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
45.7% (129)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Geekie has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Rossi is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (843).
Rossi shoots left. Geekie is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,923).
Home / Away
Rossi
Geekie
Home
47.8% (1,207)
50.0% (1,281)
Away
45.7% (1,165)
46.8% (1,343)
By Period
Rossi
Geekie
P1
47.3%
48.6%
P2
44.8%
48.8%
P3
48.3%
47.7%
OT
45.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.2%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 18:22 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:23 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 01:25 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 14:22 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 08:44 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 15:46 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |