Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 46.5%). Look for Geekie on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rossi wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 47.1% vs Geekie 47.3% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 58.6%
Defensive zone
Rossi 53.1%
Neutral zone
Geekie 51.2%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Rossi
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Rossi
Geekie
Last 5: Rossi 2-3 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Rossi
Geekie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
Geekie
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
2
Rossi
Geekie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (879)
45.7% (352)
+0.8%
Power Play
48.6% (105)
63.2% (19)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
33.3% (3)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Rossi has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Rossi is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Rossi shoots left. Geekie is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Home / Away
Rossi
Geekie
Home
47.5% (520)
48.5% (165)
Away
46.0% (472)
45.0% (209)
By Period
Rossi
Geekie
P1
47.8%
48.5%
P2
44.2%
45.1%
P3
48.7%
45.8%
Final 5 min
47.6%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:23 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 01:25 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |