Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Rossi wins 39.1% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 45.3% vs Schmaltz 42.8% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 59.7%
Defensive zone
Rossi 61.8%
Neutral zone
Rossi 66.8%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Rossi
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Rossi
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (701)
38.5% (309)
+6.0%
Power Play
56.1% (41)
53.2% (79)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
25.0% (12)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Rossi is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (281).
Rossi shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Rossi
Schmaltz
Home
46.8% (385)
38.0% (184)
Away
42.6% (364)
43.5% (216)
By Period
Rossi
Schmaltz
P1
42.8%
40.3%
P2
43.9%
39.9%
P3
47.4%
40.7%
OT
50.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
37.3%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
44.7%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 11:16 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |