Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 50.4% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 70.7%
Defensive zone
Rossi 65.8%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 50.9%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Rossi
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Rossi
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Rossi
Schmaltz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (400)
45.9% (665)
+6.9%
Power Play
36.1% (36)
46.8% (111)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
50.0% (24)
-13.0%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Rossi is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Rossi shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Rossi
Schmaltz
Home
50.0% (242)
44.7% (409)
Away
51.1% (221)
47.6% (391)
By Period
Rossi
Schmaltz
P1
54.9%
40.3%
P2
48.7%
47.6%
P3
47.9%
51.0%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 09:10 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 18:55 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |