Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rossi wins 39.1% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 45.3% vs Roy 47.2% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 72.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 75.2%
Neutral zone
Rossi 61.0%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Rossi
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Rossi
Roy
Last 6: Rossi 5-1 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
3
1
Rossi
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (701)
47.5% (617)
-3.0%
Power Play
56.1% (41)
39.6% (53)
+16.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
46.4% (97)
-46.4%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +46.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Rossi is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (281).
Rossi shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Rossi
Roy
Home
46.8% (385)
47.2% (398)
Away
42.6% (364)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Rossi
Roy
P1
42.8%
48.6%
P2
43.9%
48.8%
P3
47.4%
43.9%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
37.3%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
44.7%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 04:36 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 3 | 16:28 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 3 | 16:23 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 1 | 12:09 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |