Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Rossi wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.9% vs Roy 48.4% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Rossi leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 65.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 73.3%
Neutral zone
Rossi 52.9%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Rossi
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Rossi
Roy
Last 10: Rossi 6-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
2
0
Rossi
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Rossi
Roy
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
4
2
Rossi
Roy
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (2,140)
48.7% (3,719)
-1.7%
Power Play
47.3% (188)
49.5% (283)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
45.5% (477)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Rossi is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (843).
Rossi shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Rossi
Roy
Home
47.8% (1,207)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
45.7% (1,165)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Rossi
Roy
P1
47.3%
50.8%
P2
44.8%
46.3%
P3
48.3%
48.1%
OT
45.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.2%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 17:28 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:21 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 10:52 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 17:48 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 16:04 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:41 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 14:24 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 10:26 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 04:36 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 3 | 16:28 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 3 | 16:23 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 1 | 12:09 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |