Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 47.7%). Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Rossi wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 47.1% vs Roy 47.9% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 66.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 66.5%
Neutral zone
Rossi 51.0%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Rossi
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Rossi
Roy
Last 8: Rossi 4-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
3
Rossi
Roy
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rossi
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (879)
48.6% (679)
-2.1%
Power Play
48.6% (105)
48.0% (50)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
34.7% (49)
+15.3%
On penalty kill, Rossi has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Rossi is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Rossi shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Rossi
Roy
Home
47.5% (520)
49.3% (345)
Away
46.0% (472)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Rossi
Roy
P1
47.8%
47.6%
P2
44.2%
47.1%
P3
48.7%
47.9%
OT
45.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 17:28 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:21 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 10:52 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 17:48 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 16:04 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:41 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 14:24 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 10:26 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |