Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Buchnevich on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 45.3% vs Buchnevich 41.5% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 63.8%
Defensive zone
Rossi 60.4%
Neutral zone
Rossi 63.6%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Rossi
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Rossi
Buchnevich
Last 9: Rossi 5-4 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
1
3
Rossi
Buchnevich
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
2
1
Rossi
Buchnevich
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
2
0
Rossi
Buchnevich
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (701)
37.6% (197)
+6.9%
Power Play
56.1% (41)
50.0% (6)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
0.0% (3)
+0.0%
On even strength, Rossi has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Rossi is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Rossi shoots left. Buchnevich is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Rossi
Buchnevich
Home
46.8% (385)
43.0% (114)
Away
42.6% (364)
30.4% (92)
By Period
Rossi
Buchnevich
P1
42.8%
40.0%
P2
43.9%
35.7%
P3
47.4%
35.7%
Final 5 min
37.3%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
44.7%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 15:09 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 07:25 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 01:04 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 07:06 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:44 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:27 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 07:55 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:48 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |