Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Rossi wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 47.1% vs Buchnevich 41.2% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 51.3%
Defensive zone
Rossi 58.4%
Neutral zone
Rossi 54.7%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Rossi
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Rossi
Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
1
Rossi
Buchnevich
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
Buchnevich
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (879)
37.0% (211)
+9.5%
Power Play
48.6% (105)
50.0% (10)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
28.6% (7)
+21.4%
On penalty kill, Rossi has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Rossi is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Rossi shoots left. Buchnevich is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Rossi
Buchnevich
Home
47.5% (520)
35.6% (87)
Away
46.0% (472)
38.3% (141)
By Period
Rossi
Buchnevich
P1
47.8%
36.3%
P2
44.2%
37.6%
P3
48.7%
38.1%
Final 5 min
47.6%
36.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 08:25 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 18:03 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |