Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 50.4% vs Buchnevich 42.1% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 64.6%
Defensive zone
Rossi 79.6%
Neutral zone
Rossi 76.1%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Rossi
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Rossi
Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
Buchnevich
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (400)
37.7% (154)
+15.1%
Power Play
36.1% (36)
42.9% (14)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
30.0% (10)
+7.0%
On even strength, Rossi has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Rossi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (318).
Rossi shoots left. Buchnevich is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (107).
Home / Away
Rossi
Buchnevich
Home
50.0% (242)
37.4% (91)
Away
51.1% (221)
37.9% (87)
By Period
Rossi
Buchnevich
P1
54.9%
38.9%
P2
48.7%
31.5%
P3
47.9%
42.0%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |