Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.9% vs Hertl 54.2% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 68.9%
Defensive zone
Hertl 69.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 62.2%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Rossi
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Rossi
Hertl
Last 9: Rossi 5-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Rossi
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
3
2
Rossi
Hertl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (2,140)
53.8% (8,268)
-6.8%
Power Play
47.3% (188)
59.3% (1,975)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
46.3% (806)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Rossi is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,529).
Rossi shoots left. Hertl is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,916).
Home / Away
Rossi
Hertl
Home
47.8% (1,207)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
45.7% (1,165)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Rossi
Hertl
P1
47.3%
53.6%
P2
44.8%
54.1%
P3
48.3%
55.3%
OT
45.8%
46.5%
Final 5 min
44.2%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 09:52 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 05:43 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 11:44 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 05:38 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 05:38 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |