Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 48.4% vs Hertl 54.5% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 81.9%
Defensive zone
Hertl 54.4%
Neutral zone
Hertl 50.9%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Rossi
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Rossi
Hertl
Last 5: Rossi 3-2 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Rossi
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
3
1
Rossi
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (139)
54.1% (1,117)
-6.6%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
59.8% (296)
-19.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
34.4% (32)
+15.6%
On power play, Hertl has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Rossi is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (86).
Rossi shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Rossi
Hertl
Home
53.2% (47)
54.3% (709)
Away
44.4% (99)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Rossi
Hertl
P1
44.4%
51.6%
P2
45.5%
53.6%
P3
53.2%
58.6%
OT
0.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
47.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 11:44 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 05:38 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 05:38 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |